True Grinder

Wednesday, May 31, 2006

A Hand You Only See At The $100 Table

$100 No Limit is the lowest level of NL Hold Em at most casinos, which usually means it is the home of the lowest calibre of player. This is the story of a hand that demonstrates some of the ridiculousness of the players at $100 NL.

There was no preflop raise and there were about 6 players in the hand. There were three key players. One in early position with Ace-Jack of diamonds. Another limped early with King-6 of hearts. I kid you not. Another player limped late with King-7 of clubs. People love any face card that it is suited with a rag.

Preflop, AJs was 52.84% to win. King-7 was 24.36% to win. King-6 was 18.49% to win.

The flop was Ace, King, six, rainbow. So one player had top pair, another had 2nd pair, and a 3rd had 2nd and 3rd pair.

The player with Aces bet, the player with two pair raised pretty strongly. For some reason, the player with King-7 called. She had 2nd pair with the 6th best kicker possible. The player with Ajax called the raise. At least he had top pair with the 2nd best possible kicker. Here are the odds:

King-6: 59.25%
Ace-Jack: 31.01%
King-7: 9.52%

King-7 had 3 outs, the three other 7s in the deck. Ace-Jack had 5 outs (2 Aces, 3 Jacks) and running cards over 6 would make for a higher 2 pair.

The turn was, of course, a 7. This gave the player with King-7 a higher two pair. The player with AJ checked, K6 bet, K7 called, AJ raised all-in, K6 called, K7 called. By this time, the pot was about $700 and was won by a player with a Godawful shitty hand.

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